What Inventory Turnover Ratio Tells You
Inventory turnover measures how many times you sell and replace your entire inventory in a year. A higher ratio means you are converting inventory into revenue quickly. A lower ratio means product is sitting on shelves, tying up cash and accumulating carrying costs.
The formula is straightforward: divide your annual cost of goods sold by your average inventory value. If your COGS is $500,000 and your average inventory is $100,000, your turnover is 5x—you sell through your entire stock five times per year, or roughly every 73 days.
But the number alone means nothing without context. A turnover of 5x might be excellent for a furniture retailer and terrible for a grocery store. What matters is how your ratio compares to your specific industry and whether it is improving or declining over time.
Industry Benchmarks
According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, inventory turnover varies dramatically by industry:
- Grocery and perishables: 14–20x. Food spoils, so grocers must turn inventory rapidly. A grocery store with a turnover below 10x has a serious waste and shrinkage problem.
- General retail: 4–6x. Clothing, home goods, and general merchandise typically turn 4–6 times per year. Fast fashion retailers push toward 8–12x while luxury brands may operate at 2–3x intentionally.
- Manufacturing: 6–12x. Manufacturers need raw materials on hand but cannot afford to stockpile finished goods. The best manufacturers use lean and just-in-time principles to push turnover above 10x.
- Auto dealers: 8–12x. Vehicle inventory is expensive and depreciates quickly. Dealers with turnover below 8x are carrying too many units on the lot, accumulating floor plan interest and depreciation losses.
- Construction and building materials: 4–8x. Contractors and building supply companies deal with seasonal demand and long lead times, which makes maintaining turnover above 6x a strong indicator of efficient purchasing.
The Carrying Cost of Excess Inventory
Most business owners underestimate how expensive it is to hold inventory. The industry rule of thumb, supported by research from the SBA, estimates that carrying costs equal roughly 25% of inventory value per year. That means if you are holding $200,000 in average inventory, it costs you approximately $50,000 per year just to have it—before you sell a single unit.
These costs come from four categories:
- Capital costs (~10%). This is the opportunity cost of the cash tied up in inventory. That money could be paying down debt, funding marketing, or earning interest. Even if you used your own cash (not a loan), the opportunity cost is real.
- Storage and handling (~7%). Warehouse rent, utilities, shelving, forklifts, warehouse staff, and receiving and shipping labor. Even if you store inventory in your own facility, the space has a cost.
- Insurance and taxes (~3%). Inventory must be insured, and in many jurisdictions, it is subject to property tax. The higher your inventory value, the higher these costs.
- Obsolescence, shrinkage, and damage (~5%). Products go out of style, expire, get damaged in storage, or are stolen. This is the hidden killer of excess inventory—the longer product sits, the greater the risk it never sells at full price.
Just-in-Time vs. Safety Stock
There are two opposing philosophies for managing inventory, and most businesses need a blend of both:
Just-in-time (JIT) inventory means ordering only what you need, when you need it. JIT minimizes carrying costs and maximizes turnover. It works well when suppliers are reliable, lead times are short, and demand is predictable. Toyota pioneered this approach in manufacturing, and it has been adopted across industries.
The downside of JIT is fragility. If a supplier is late, demand spikes unexpectedly, or a disruption hits the supply chain, you have no buffer. The COVID-era supply chain crisis exposed the vulnerability of businesses that relied entirely on JIT with no safety stock.
Safety stock is extra inventory held as a buffer against uncertainty. It protects against stockouts when demand exceeds forecasts or suppliers deliver late. The trade-off is higher carrying costs and lower turnover.
The right approach depends on your business. High-margin products with unpredictable demand warrant more safety stock because a stockout costs more than carrying extra inventory. Low-margin, high-volume products with predictable demand are better managed with JIT because the carrying cost eats into already-thin margins.
How to Improve Inventory Turnover
Improving turnover is not just about buying less—it is about buying smarter, selling faster, and eliminating waste. Based on guidance from the SBA and industry best practices:
- Identify and eliminate dead stock. Run an aging report on your inventory. Any SKU that has not sold in 90–180 days is a candidate for clearance, bundling, or write-off. Holding onto dead stock hoping it will sell is one of the most expensive mistakes in inventory management.
- Improve demand forecasting. Use historical sales data, seasonal patterns, and leading indicators to predict what you will need. Even a basic spreadsheet forecast is better than gut-feel ordering. Over-ordering by 10% on every purchase compounds into massive excess inventory over a year.
- Reduce supplier lead times. Shorter lead times mean you can order closer to when you actually need the product, reducing the need for large safety stock. Negotiate faster delivery, find local suppliers, or switch to vendors with better fulfillment.
- Implement ABC analysis. Categorize your inventory into three tiers: A items (top 20% of SKUs generating 80% of revenue), B items (next 30%), and C items (bottom 50%). Manage A items tightly with frequent reordering and low safety stock. Manage C items loosely—or consider dropping them entirely.
- Negotiate smaller, more frequent orders. Instead of ordering large quantities quarterly, order smaller quantities monthly or bi-weekly. This reduces average inventory on hand and improves turnover. Negotiate with suppliers for smaller minimum order quantities, even if the per-unit cost is slightly higher —the savings in carrying costs often more than offset the price difference.
Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau — Retail Trade Data — Industry-level inventory and sales statistics
- Bureau of Labor Statistics — Industries at a Glance — Industry benchmarks and economic data
- U.S. Small Business Administration — Manage Your Finances — Inventory management and financial planning for small businesses