The One-Customer Problem
Here is a scenario that destroys businesses every single day: A contractor builds their company around one large client. That client represents 40%, 50%, sometimes 70% of their revenue. Everything is great until that client cuts their budget, changes vendors, gets acquired, or goes out of business. Overnight, the contractor's revenue collapses and they do not have enough pipeline to recover.
This is not a hypothetical. If you have a single customer representing more than 25% of your revenue, you are in a danger zone. If any single customer represents more than 40%, you are not running a business. You are a de facto employee without benefits.
Types of Revenue Concentration Risk
Customer Concentration
One or a few customers represent a disproportionate share of revenue. The fix: actively pursue new customers even when your current book of business keeps you busy.
Service Concentration
You offer one service and nothing else. If demand for that service drops due to market changes, technology disruption, or seasonality, your entire revenue is affected. The fix: develop complementary services that serve the same customer base.
Market Concentration
You serve one industry or one geographic area. If that industry has a downturn or your local market shifts, you are exposed. The fix: expand your target market, either geographically or across industries.
Channel Concentration
All your business comes through one referral source, one platform, or one marketing channel. If Google changes its algorithm or your referral partner retires, you lose your lead flow. The fix: build multiple lead generation channels.
How to Assess Your Concentration Risk
Pull up your revenue numbers from the last 12 months and answer these questions:
- What percentage of revenue comes from your top customer?
- What percentage comes from your top 3 customers?
- What percentage comes from your primary service or product?
- What percentage comes from your primary industry or market?
- What percentage of your leads come from a single source?
Healthy benchmarks:
- No single customer exceeds 15-20% of revenue
- Top 3 customers do not exceed 40% of revenue
- No single service exceeds 50% of revenue (unless you are very early stage)
- No single lead source exceeds 40% of total leads
If you are above these thresholds, you have concentration risk that needs to be addressed.
Diversification Strategies
Add Complementary Services
Look at what your customers need before and after they buy from you. A painting company could add power washing, drywall repair, or color consultation services. An IT firm could add cybersecurity assessments, training programs, or managed services.
The key word is complementary. You are not randomly adding services. You are filling adjacent needs for customers who already trust you. This is the lowest-risk form of diversification because you are leveraging existing relationships.
Create Recurring Revenue
If your business is entirely project-based, you are constantly starting from zero. Convert some of your revenue to recurring by offering:
- Maintenance contracts
- Retainer agreements
- Subscription services
- Annual service plans
Even converting 20-30% of your revenue to recurring dramatically improves predictability and reduces risk. A customer on a monthly retainer is far less likely to leave than a customer you only contact when you are selling a new project.
Expand Your Customer Base
This sounds obvious, but many businesses stop actively selling once they are "busy enough." Being busy is not the same as being diversified. If you are busy with two large clients, you are busy and at risk.
Set a standing goal: acquire at least X new customers per quarter, regardless of how busy you are. This prevents the feast-or-famine cycle and gradually reduces your concentration risk.
Enter Adjacent Markets
If you serve residential customers exclusively, explore commercial. If you serve one industry, identify another industry with similar needs. This does not mean abandoning your core market. It means building a second leg to stand on.
Research the adjacent market before jumping in. Talk to potential customers. Understand how their needs differ. Adjust your offering. Do not assume what works in one market works identically in another.
Productize Your Knowledge
You have expertise that people would pay for outside of your core service delivery. This might take the form of:
- Online courses or training programs
- Consulting engagements
- Templates, toolkits, or digital products
- Speaking engagements
- Licensing your process or methodology
This is a longer-term play, but it creates revenue that is completely decoupled from your service delivery capacity, which is the ultimate form of diversification.
The Diversification Timeline
Do not try to diversify everything at once. You will spread yourself too thin and execute nothing well.
Months 1-3: Assess your concentration risk. Identify which type of concentration is your biggest vulnerability.
Months 4-6: Pick ONE diversification strategy and execute it. If customer concentration is your issue, focus on new customer acquisition. If service concentration is the problem, develop and launch one complementary service.
Months 7-12: Measure results. Is the new revenue stream growing? Is your concentration decreasing? Adjust your approach based on data.
Year 2 and beyond: Add additional diversification strategies. By now, your first initiative should be generating predictable revenue, and you can layer on a second.
Managing the Transition
Diversification often means saying no to easy revenue from your largest customer so you can pursue harder revenue from new sources. This is uncomfortable but necessary.
If your biggest client offers you more work and accepting it would increase your concentration above 30%, seriously consider declining or at least delaying. Use that capacity to serve new customers instead.
This feels counterintuitive. Turning down revenue? But the math is clear: short-term revenue from a concentrated source creates long-term existential risk. Revenue from a diversified base creates long-term stability.
The Goal
You want a business where no single customer, service, market, or channel can put you out of business if it disappears. That does not mean everything is perfectly equal. It means you have enough diversity that losing any one piece is painful but survivable.
That is the difference between a fragile business and a resilient one.
5Sources
- 01Managing the Risks of Revenue Concentration — Harvard Business Review
- 02Diversifying Your Small Business Revenue — U.S. Small Business Administration
- 03
- 04Building Recurring Revenue — Salesforce Research
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